Bayer Leverkusen has shown a mixed trajectory recently. In the Bundesliga, they have struggled with inconsistent form, suffering two consecutive defeats—a 2-0 loss to Augsburg on December 6, 2025, as well as earlier losses to Hoffenheim and a draw against Werder Bremen. However, their performances in the Champions League have been notably stronger, highlighted by an impressive 2-0 victory over Manchester City at the Etihad on November 25, 2025. This demonstrates their ability to compete at the highest level in European tournaments. Their Champions League record includes wins in their last two away matches, but they are looking for a home victory after struggling domestically.

Newcastle United, on the other hand, have demonstrated stronger overall form, particularly on home ground. They defeated Burnley 2-1 on December 6, 2025, with goals from Bruno Guimarães and Anthony Gordon, showcasing commanding possession (69%) and solid defense despite Burnley's man-down situation. However, their away form in European competition reveals a critical weakness; Newcastle suffered a 2-1 defeat to Marseille on November 25, 2025, continuing a troubling trend of four consecutive away defeats across all competitions. This vulnerability, combined with defensive lapses highlighted by Aubameyang's two second-half goals, represents a significant concern entering this fixture.

Regarding winning and losing streaks, Leverkusen has lost consecutive Bundesliga matches for the first time since January-February 2023, breaking their previous dominance. Newcastle exhibits inconsistent away form but has strong home results, with recent league victories boosting their confidence.

When comparing home and away performance, Newcastle's away record—particularly in Europe—is markedly inferior to their home performance, averaging just 1.35 xG in away matches compared to 1.70 at home. Leverkusen's home record in the Champions League reflects only two defeats in their last eight matches against top competition.

In terms of head-to-head history, the record strongly favors Newcastle. In their previous two Champions League meetings during the 2002-03 season, Newcastle won both encounters convincingly: 3-1 away at Leverkusen and 3-1 at home, with Alan Shearer scoring a hat-trick in the return fixture. Despite the 22-year gap, this psychological advantage provides context for Newcastle’s confidence, although the modern squad compositions have changed dramatically.